Darwin Nunez‘s departure to Al-Hilal brings an finish to an affiliation which some inside Liverpool’s recruitment staff noticed as a raffle to start with.
The switch was facilitated by then-sporting director Julian Ward, whose connections in Portugal helped within the means of signing each Nunez from Benfica and Luis Diaz from Porto, however it was one pushed by Jurgen Klopp and Pepijn Lijnders.
Nunez had scored in each legs of a Champions League quarter-final between Liverpool and Benfica two months earlier than his swap to Merseyside – and the supervisor had seen sufficient.
Fittingly, given what was to come back, the offside flag denied Nunez a hat-trick within the second leg at Anfield – together with one gorgeous first-time end on the transfer which defied his physique form – and Klopp was captivated by his relentlessness working within the left channel.
However the Uruguayan joined at a time of uncertainty for Liverpool off the pitch, with Michael Edwards making ready for his departure and Ward starting what proved to be a short-term position overseeing transfers.
It was there {that a} club-record switch seemingly slipped by the cracks of a longtime recruitment coverage which locations nice worth within the information.
‘Are we going to alter our type for him?’
The £85 million deal – of which Liverpool paid the bulk as a result of numerous add-ons – was one of many final labored on by Ian Graham in his position as director of analysis.
Chatting with The Athletic final 12 months, Graham conceded that Nunez’s performances in opposition to Klopp’s facet “didn’t do him any hurt in turning into a Liverpool participant” and defined considerations that had been flagged inside his staff of analysts.
“We went by the identical information course of for Nunez as with different gamers,” he recalled.
“I wished to ensure that everybody knew what a giant change it might be with Nunez. It was extra, ‘are we positive we’re going to make the very best use of him?’.”
Whereas Liverpool thought of Nunez among the many greatest younger strikers in Europe as they looked for a long-term successor to Roberto Firmino, the problem was extra in whether or not he would match the setup stylistically.
“The problem with Nunez was that he was a really completely different sort of participant to Firmino,” Graham continued.
“My questions had been: ‘Are we going to alter our type or formation for him? Is he a ok participant that it is likely to be price making these modifications?’.
“It was one thing we had resisted for a few years.”
Changing Firmino, probably the greatest and most unusual centre-forwards in Liverpool’s historical past, was clearly going to be a troublesome activity, however Klopp noticed match to shift in the direction of a extra conventional No. 9 in Nunez.
It got here throughout a revival of the out-and-out striker within the Premier League and little question Nunez was hampered by the comparisons with Erling Haaland – a participant Liverpool coveted however deemed out of their funds given the general spend required.
However whereas there have been clear tactical tweaks it was evident that Klopp by no means actually constructed his facet round Nunez and the onus was on him to stick to the rules of his system.
Nunez’s xG outlier
Each Klopp after which Arne Slot expressed frustrations with Nunez’s work off the ball and most notably throughout his first season on the membership that saved him from sustaining a first-choice beginning position.
Firmino’s skill to drop deep and hyperlink play whereas creating for his vast forwards turned so central to Liverpool’s success that it was no shock that bringing in a wholly completely different profile introduced teething points.
An out-and-out No. 9 is measured within the objectives he scores, and when it comes to information evaluation there’s an emphasis on the underlying numbers in that regard. In different phrases, anticipated objectives.
With that in thoughts, the proof is stark: solely as soon as in his profession has Nunez outperformed his xG, and that was his closing season at Benfica, when he was judged to have scored 10.5 objectives greater than he ought to have.
Put merely, the shape that satisfied Klopp – and by extension, Liverpool – to signal him is a exceptional outlier in a profession which in any other case pitches him as a striker price 10-to-15 objective a season, fairly than an £85 million positive factor.
For a time there was additionally an argument that Nunez was truly extra helpful ranging from the left flank, however he was not assured of a beginning place in that position given the provision of Diaz, Diogo Jota and later Cody Gakpo.
“I wouldn’t say that the information stated no to Nunez. It’s extra ‘if we signal this participant we’ve to grasp that is the position we’ve seen him be efficient in and is there at the moment a slot for him in our squad?’,” was Graham’s conclusion.
“And in the event you’re spending a big amount of cash on a participant then he has to begin. The worst factor you are able to do is purchase a squad participant and spend cash that may very well be on the market on the pitch.”
That’s basically what Liverpool ended up with: Nunez began solely 76 of his 143 appearances for the membership, coming off the bench 67 instances and taking part in the complete 90 minutes on 27 events.
In his closing season he discovered himself behind Diaz, a pure left winger, and Jota within the pecking order up entrance and the choice to spend £79 million on Hugo Ekitike this summer time made clear the place Nunez stood.
Liverpool’s data-led recruitment is again
With Edwards and Ward again on the membership, albeit in roles inside Fenway Sports activities Group, and Richard Hughes appointed long-term sporting director, there was a deliberate transfer again in the direction of data-led recruitment.
That comes, too, with the excellence of Slot as head coach, fairly than a conventional supervisor. The hierarchy is now clear.
One of many choices pushed by Liverpool’s information staff three years in the past was Alexander Isak and it’s telling that the membership are pushing exhausting for the Swede as Nunez’s alternative.
It represents the acknowledgment of a lapse of their recruitment course of.
Whereas Klopp received many issues proper in his transformative time at Liverpool, pushing so closely for a striker who clearly didn’t match was not one in every of them.
