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Melbourne • Australian Open Mens Tennis Draw Analyzed By Alix Ramsay

January 17, 2026
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Photograph credit score: Rolex

By Alix Ramsay

That’s it; we will all go residence. The Australian Open champion has been topped. Step ahead Jordan Smith, the brand new king of Melbourne.

The 29-year-old novice from Sydney pocketed AUS$1million for his efforts which ought to be greater than sufficient to purchase a pleasant body to show the photograph of him beating world No.2 Jannik Sinner on his option to the ultimate. As soon as there he beat Joanna Garland from Taipei.

Honest sufficient, this was solely the One Level Slam, a brand new occasion so as to add a little bit of enjoyable and frolic to the week earlier than the Open. Open to allcomers, every match was just one level lengthy and the superstars have been allowed just one serve which was the undoing of Sinner – he dumped his into the online. Hit and giggle it might have been however it actually livened up the hours main into the draw.

That draw has not been variety to Sinner.

Supplied he can get his serve over the online in his opening spherical in opposition to Hugo Gaston (and the sensible cash suggests he’ll), he may face Joao Fonseca within the third spherical, Karen Khachanov within the fourth, Ben Shelton within the quarter-finals and Novak Djokovic within the semis. Which would go away him with solely Carlos Alcaraz to beat within the ultimate. He is perhaps needing a 3rd Weetabix for his breakfast to get by way of that lot if he’s to defend his title.

Alcaraz, normally the gang’s favourite, might be the villain of the piece at Melbourne Park. He begins in opposition to an Australian in Adam Walton, the world No.79 from Brisbane and is scheduled to fulfill Alex de Minaur within the quarter-finals. And everyone loves de Minaur. The world No.1 has crushed Demon 5 instances and dropped simply two units alongside the way in which.

That, although, presupposes that each males attain the final eight. Alcaraz’s expertise is past doubt however typically his temper will get in the way in which. If he’s completely satisfied, assured and pondering clearly, he’s untouchable to all however Sinner. But when his thoughts wanders, he’s beatable. That’s when he beats himself.

The likeable Demon opens his account in opposition to Matteo Berrettini – and that’s the form of first spherical any man would dread. The Italian has been plagued with accidents since his run to the Wimbledon ultimate in 2021 and final 12 months missed each Roland Garros and the US Open. However when he was match – and that forehand of his was firing – he beat Demon in Miami. That stated, he took a clumping from the Aussie in Vienna seven months later.

Alexander Bulblik might be ready for Australia’s best within the fourth spherical, too. Bublik was the revelation of final 12 months. He gained three matches in a six-month spell from September 2024 to March of final 12 months and his rating slumped to No.82. However from dropping within the opening spherical of Indian Wells, he regrouped, refocused and compelled his manner as much as the world’s prime 10 and claimed his place as an alternate on the ATP Tour Finals. He was as amazed as everybody who watched him. Opening this season with the Hong Kong title, he may trigger some injury within the coming couple of weeks.

Daniil Medvedev is one other man to maintain your eyes on. He arrived in Melbourne contemporary from successful the Brisbane silverware and believes he’s taking part in prime 5 tennis once more. Again in 2022, he was the world No.1 and he had been a everlasting fixture within the prime 5 for years. Or he was till final 12 months when he dropped all the way down to No.18 after the US Open. A mix of accidents and disaffection with what he was doing and the way wore him down. However now he appears to be again in enterprise.

He may face Felix Auger-Aliassime within the fourth spherical and Sascha Zverev within the quarter-finals which would go away him with Alcaraz within the semi-finals.

And, lastly, be careful for Stan Wawrinka. The 40-year-old former champion is taking part in his ultimate season on tour however he doesn’t need this to be a sentimental, farewell tour of his favourite haunts; he needs to win. Stan doesn’t actually do sentiment when he has a racket in his hand. His intention is to finish his profession ranked contained in the world’s prime 100 (he’s at the moment No.139) and his first step in the direction of that aim is to beat Laslo Djere, the No.91 from Serbia.

He gained one in every of his 5 matches on the United Cup in Perth – be beat Arthur Rinderknech – however each one in every of them was as tight as a duck’s nether areas. Stan is right here to struggle and we are going to miss him when he’s gone.



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Tags: AlixAnalyzedAustraliandrawMelbourneMensOpenRamsayTennis
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