Xander Bogaerts is on the verge of a number of milestones. Barring harm, the 33-year-old San Diego Padres shortstop will attain and surpass 400 doubles, 200 residence runs, and 1,000 runs scored this season. He additionally has a shot at 2,000 hits, needing 178 extra to reach at that mark. After which there may be the defensive aspect of the equation. Defying most expectations, Bogaerts is on the doorstep of getting began 1,500 video games at his middle-of-the-infield place.
As you might recall, Bogaerts’s bat was his calling card when he ranked as the highest prospect within the Boston Pink Sox system. Few doubted his means to hit, however the chance that he would stay a shortstop was one other story. Echoing the opinion of many all through the trade, our December 2011 writeup of the then-19-year-old Oranjestad, Aruba native included the next:
“Defensively he performs a strong shortstop however he’s anticipated to decelerate and shift over to 3rd base earlier than he reaches the majors.”
I’ve addressed that chance with Bogaerts a number of occasions over time, initially for a print-publication story I wrote when he was in Double-A. Quoting a scout, I titled the piece, “Appears Like a Shortstop to Me.”
All these years later, Bogaerts recollects the conjecture surrounding his future within the subject. After I caught as much as him at Padres camp final weekend, it was the very first thing he talked about after I posed this query: Had you been advised at age 20 that your profession would comply with the trail it has, would something have shocked you?
“Sure,” Bogaerts replied. “Possibly a distinct place. Lots folks thought I’d have moved on. Again then, I used to be type of generally known as a hitter, so I needed to actually work onerous if I wished to remain there.”
You Aren’t a FanGraphs Member
It seems to be such as you aren’t but a FanGraphs Member (or aren’t logged in). We aren’t mad, simply dissatisfied.
We get it. You need to learn this text. However earlier than we allow you to get again to it, we might prefer to level out a number of of the nice the explanation why you must develop into a Member.
1. Advert Free viewing! We can’t bug you with this advert, or every other.
2. Limitless articles! Non-Members solely get to learn 10 free articles a month. Members by no means get lower off.
3. Darkish mode and Traditional mode!
4. Customized participant web page dashboards! Select the participant playing cards you need, within the order you need them.
5. One-click information exports! Export our projections and leaderboards on your private initiatives.
6. Take away the photographs on the house web page! (Actually, this does not sound so nice to us, however some folks wished it, and we like to present our Members what they need.)
7. Much more Steamer projections! We have now handedness, percentile, and context impartial projections accessible for Members solely.
8. Get FanGraphs Stroll-Off, a personalized 12 months finish evaluate! Discover out precisely the way you used FanGraphs this 12 months, and the way that compares to different Members. Do not be a sufferer of FOMO.
9. A weekly mailbag column, solely for Members.
10. Assist assist FanGraphs and our total workers! Our Members present us with essential assets to enhance the positioning and ship new options!
We hope you will think about a Membership at present, for your self or as a present! And we understand this has been an awfully lengthy gross sales pitch, so we have additionally eliminated all the opposite adverts on this article. We did not need to overdo it.
A followup was so as. Did he suppose he would find yourself transitioning away from the place he’d grown up taking part in?
“Possibly outgrow it, sure,” Bogaerts admitted. “Play unhealthy sufficient that I needed to transfer, no. However outgrow… I used to be skinny then. You’ll be able to see how a lot weight I’ve placed on since my minor-league days. Individuals most likely projected that I’d get greater, and I think about they primarily based their opinions on that. However I’ve tried to take care of my quickness, my pace, keep lean. I’ve been capable of keep a shortstop.”
As for what he’s gone on to do with the bat, Bogaerts was his humble self when requested concerning the milestones he’s about to succeed in.
“Whenever you’re younger, you hope you’ll have one thing like that,” mentioned Bogaerts, who has a 115 wRC+ and 43.9 WAR for his profession. “You hope, however you don’t actually know. I’ve been very blessed, and I’m very completely satisfied. Might it’s higher? All the time it may be. We may all be higher. I’m simply making an attempt to take care of and proceed as I become old.”
Bogaerts has eight years remaining on the free-agent contract he signed with the Padres previous to the 2023 season, and whereas he could or could not retain the talents wanted to play that lengthy — at any place — one factor is for certain. He stays a child at coronary heart.
“I nonetheless love the sport,” Bogaerts advised me. “Some guys play for a sure period of time and are like, ‘No, I’m carried out; I need to do one thing else.’ However I actually take pleasure in it. I even take pleasure in a few of the complications that this recreation can convey, the struggles that you just undergo. Every little thing is simple when issues are going nicely. You present up, get a few hits. However when it’s not, there may be the homework you want to do to beat that. I take pleasure in that homework. I imply, I benefit from the recreation as a lot as I did after I was younger. I am going residence, I watch baseball. Some guys go residence and don’t need to take a look at baseball. I’ll play so long as I can.”
———
RANDOM HITTER-PITCHER MATCHUPS
Rondell White went 11 for 15 in opposition to Sterling Hitchcock.
Mickey Vernon went 11 for 15 in opposition to Bob Trice.
Ned Yost went 10 for 12 in opposition to Tommy John.
Gary Carter went 10 for 14 in opposition to Donnie Moore.
Amos Otis went 10 for 16 in opposition to Woodie Fryman.
———
Colt Emerson was a highly-regarded 19-year-old shortstop within the Seattle Mariners system when he was featured in Sunday Notes on December 8, 2024. Fifteen months later, he’s much more extremely regarded. On the heels of a 2025 season that noticed him put up a 129 wRC+ throughout three ranges, Emerson ranks eleventh on our 2026 High 100 Prospects listing.
How does he differ from {the teenager} I talked to throughout his erstwhile Arizona Fall League stint?
“I’m a bit of smarter, a bit of stronger,” Emerson advised me at Seattle’s spring coaching advanced final week. “Clearly a bit of older. That’s about it, actually. I attempt to hold issues so simple as attainable. It’s been a great first few years. I’ve had nice teammates and nice coaches. Actually, I’ve simply been discovering myself, figuring issues out in an org that has been nothing however nice to me.”
The younger hitter has been rising into his energy — his left-handed stroke propelled 16 residence runs final 12 months — however not as a result of he’s been packing on kilos. Emerson nonetheless suggestions the scales within the 185 vary, and, as he defined, “weight doesn’t essentially imply you’re robust.” He credit strength-and-conditioning coaching that helps hold him lean and agile, permitting him to deal with the shortstop place.
He additionally hasn’t made any mechanical changes for the aim of including juice to his offensive profile. Emerson did change from a leg kick to a toe faucet about midway by means of final season, however that was about consistency, not added energy. As he put it, “I’ve confidence in my swing that if I barrel the ball, it may exit. I simply need to have the identical [mechanics] each time.”
Once we spoke in 2024, Emerson advised me that “hitting is difficult.” Does he nonetheless really feel that method?
“For certain,” he mentioned. “Hitting is all the time onerous. Anyone who says that it’s straightforward is mendacity. I imply, on the finish of the day, we’re all opponents. I by no means need to let the pitcher beat me, but it surely’s going to occur as a rule.”
What isn’t going to occur fairly often is his making a miscue whereas fielding a batted ball. That’s to not recommend Emerson is the second coming of Ozzie Smith or Omar Vizquel, however he profiles as strong. As said in his High 100 Prospects writeup, “Defensively the arrow is up.” As for the diploma to which he’s improved, that’s a matter of opinion.
“I feel my protection has all the time been there,” Emerson mentioned. “Individuals can say what they need, however on the finish of the day, I’ve confidence in my glove. Like I mentioned, the group has been actually nice to me. I’ve been capable of be taught from lots of nice guys. Bone [infield coach Perry Hill] says, ‘If you wish to be an important infielder, you may’t get tired of fundamentals.’ I actually take satisfaction in making the performs within the field — take into consideration a field 4 toes by 4 toes sq. — making the routine performs each time. You’ve obtained to do this at each place, each single time. I really feel I can try this.”
Which brings us to Emerson’s arrival time in Seattle. Nonetheless simply 20 years outdated, is he prepared for the large leagues? It will depend on the way you parse the query. In the end, when you’re ok, you’re sufficiently old.
———
A quiz:
Carl Yastrzemski had 2,262 singles, probably the most in Boston Pink Sox franchise historical past. Who ranks second in that class on the workforce’s all-time listing? (Successful: he ranks third in complete variety of hits.)
The reply will be discovered beneath.
———
NEWS NOTES
MLB has promoted two umpires, Tom Hanahan and Brian Walsh, to full-time positions. They’re changing Mark Carlson and Phil Cuzzi, who’ve retired after 26.5 and 27 seasons respectively. In a associated transfer, Jordan Baker has been promoted to crew chief, a job that Carlson had held.
Bruce Froemming, an MLB umpire from 1971-2007, died earlier this week at age 86. The Milwaukee native referred to as 5,163 video games, third-most in historical past behind Joe West (5,460) and Invoice Klem (5,375). Froemming was on the sector for 11 no-hitters.
Wayne Granger, a right-handed reliever who appeared in 451 video games whereas pitching for seven groups throughout the 1968-1976 seasons, died earlier this week at age 81. A local of Springfield, Massachusetts, Granger was credited with 108 saves, together with an NL-best 35 for the Cincinnati Reds in 1970.
Chris Krug, a catcher who appeared in 79 video games whereas taking part in for the Chicago Cubs and San Diego Padres throughout the 1965-1969 seasons, died final month at age 86. Later a coach and a minor-league supervisor, Krug counted 5 residence runs, all as a Cub, amongst his 41 MLB hits.
The winners of the 2026 SABR Analytics Convention Analysis Awards had been introduced yesterday. The information will be discovered right here.
———
The reply to the quiz is Jim Rice, with 1,618 singles. In case you guessed Wade Boggs or Ted Williams, they ranked third and fourth respectively.
———
Left on the cutting-room ground from my latest dialog with Ryan Waldschmidt was what he advised me about his draft expertise. Now the group’s top-ranked prospect, Waldschmidt was chosen thirty first general in 2024 by the Arizona Diamondbacks out of the College of Kentucky.
“My brokers obtained lots of calls from anyplace between 15 and after I obtained picked,” recalled the 23-year-old outfielder, who — together with topping the D-Backs rankings — is thirty fifth on our 2026 100 High Prospects listing. “There have been some second-option situations, with folks saying, ‘If this man will get picked, we’re going to take you.’ Issues didn’t comply with in my favor, I suppose, however on the finish of the day, I fell into the precise spot. I really feel that I obtained picked by the precise workforce.”
Waldschmidt had a pre-draft interview with the Diamondbacks that he felt went particularly nicely, so he knew that there was critical curiosity. Even so, he “didn’t actually hear from them a lot on draft day,” rising the chance — a minimum of in his thoughts — that he could be going elsewhere. As is all the time the case with the beginner draft, potential signing bonuses had been additionally at play.
“I had a few groups supply offers for afterward if I wished to attend for the second spherical,” Waldschmidt advised me. “They had been providing me more cash than a [later round] first-round decide would get, so I had a bit of little bit of leverage on a few of these different groups. What I perceive is that the Diamondbacks had been prepared to present me across the similar quantity with their decide, at 31 (Arizona additionally had the twenty ninth general decide, which they used to pick Slade Caldwell.) They could have had their draft-strategy plan in place, the place if I used to be nonetheless there, they’d take me.”
———
A random obscure former participant snapshot:
Troy Mattes has the best batting common in Montreal Expos/Washington Nationals franchise historical past amongst gamers with a minimum of 15 plate appearances. A right-handed pitcher whose MLB profession comprised eight video games for the Expos in 2001, Mattes went 7-for-15 (.467) with a double and one sacrifice hit. On June 19 of that 12 months, he went 3-for-4 whereas additionally hurling seven innings for the win in a 12-3 pummeling of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
His finest mound effort got here ten days earlier in his major-league debut when he tossed seven shutout frames in a contest the Expos finally misplaced to the New York Mets. Mattes’s general pitching document wasn’t practically as spectacular as his debut efficiency (nor as his 162 wRC+ as a hitter). Over 45 innings, he logged a 6.00 ERA, a 6.16 FIP, and was taken deep 9 occasions. His won-loss document was 3-3.
———
LINKS YOU’LL LIKE
The Athletic’s Andrew Baggerly wrote about how Daniel Susac is hoping to show a Rule 5 alternative right into a dream debut with the San Francisco Giants.
MLB Pipeline’s Jim Callis, Sam Dykstra, and Jonathan Mayo teamed as much as give us every workforce’s high power-hitting prospect.
MLB.com’s Keegan Matheson sees a Cy Younger Award lurking in Dylan Stop’s proper arm.
Jose Ferrer hopes to convey enjoyable and ‘muchos ceros’ to the Mariners bullpen. Shannon Drayer has the story at Seattle Sports activities.
The Detroit Tigers toured Japan in 1962. Andrew Forbes wrote about it for SABR’s Asian Baseball weblog.
———
RANDOM FACTS AND STATS
Colorado Rockies prospect Charlie Condon is 7-for-13 with three residence runs up to now this spring. TJ Rumfield, one other Rockies prospect, is 5-for-12 with three residence runs.
The Athletics’ 40-man roster consists of 12 gamers drafted by the A’s, two signed as worldwide free brokers, 15 acquired through commerce, 5 claimed off waivers, and 6 signed as free brokers (4 to an MLB contract, two to a minor-league contract).
Garrett Crochet and Cristopher Sánchez every made 32 begins final season. Crochet had a 2.59 ERA over 205-and-a-third innings. Sanchez had a 2.50 ERA over 202 innings.
Logan Webb leads all pitchers in video games began (132) and innings pitched (820) over the previous 4 seasons. He ranks second in WAR (19.1) and fifth in FIP (2.94).
Bruce Kison threw 20 scoreless innings in his first seven postseason appearances. The Pittsburgh Pirates right-hander went 4-0 in these video games, with one of many wins coming within the 1971 World Sequence. All advised, the lanky right-hander toed the rubber 10 occasions within the postseason, going 5-1 with a 1.98 ERA.
The St. Louis Cardinals signed Willie Montanez as an beginner free agent on at present’s date in 1965. 5 years later, the left-handed-hitting outfielder/first baseman was despatched to the Phillies as a PTBNL substitute for Curt Flood, who had refused to report after being traded from St. Louis to Philadelphia. A Phillie for elements of seven seasons, Montanez completed his 14-year profession with 1,604 hits, 139 residence runs, and a 99 wRC+.
Gamers born on at present’s date embody Chris Barnwell, an infielder who appeared in 13 video games for the Milwaukee Brewers in 2006. A local of Jacksonville, Florida who performed for Group Canada within the 2009 World Baseball Traditional — his father was from Nova Scotia — Barnwell went 2-for-30 and swiped one base throughout his MLB cup of espresso.
Additionally born on at present’s date was Farmer Vaughn, a local of Ruraldale, Ohio who performed for 5 groups, primarily the Nationwide League’s Cincinnati Reds, throughout the 1886-1899 seasons. A catcher/first baseman/outfielder, Vaughn suited up for a pair of American Affiliation golf equipment in 1981, considered one of them the Cincinnati Kelly’s Killers.
