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Hallowed Out: Mike Trout Stands Alone

March 11, 2026
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The Angels haven’t modified. It’s Mike Trout who’s worse.

The Angels are dangerous. It’s the truest factor about them. Their hitting is dangerous, their pitching is dangerous, their fielding is dangerous, and the whole lot else is dangerous, too. This isn’t breaking information. They’ve completed beneath .500 every year since 2015, the one crew to not make the postseason in that point. However expectations have reached a brand new low as we enter 2026:

Angels Preseason Projections

Yr
Playoff Odds
Projected Wins
Projected WAR

2026
5.2%
72.5
27.2

2025
9.5%
75.1
32.1

2024
16.8%
77.6
30.6

2023
48.0%
83.5
37.7

2022
44.7%
83.3
38.2

2021
39.5%
84.7
36.7

2019
19.5%
82.3
36.0

2018
27.1%
82.5
37.7

2017
33.3%
82.7
36.2

2016
26.5%
80.7
32.9

Supply: Depth Charts, Steamer

I used to be initially skeptical of those figures, or not less than the route of them. How might the Angels presumably be going backwards? They don’t appear to be rebuilding, and their depth chart appears to be like the identical as ever: just a few really good gamers, just a few gamers who could be good in the event that they had been taking part in a unique place (or maybe in a unique group), just a few gamers who had been drafted far too just lately, just a few getting old veterans who had been almost All-Stars at one level, and Trout.

Then it hit me:

Mike Trout vs Teammates 2

Trout established himself because the league’s high participant by the tip of 2012. Alongside a number of once-great-now-32 batters, the 2012-14 Angels had the perfect lineup within the majors by wRC+. I wouldn’t describe their standing as bountiful by any means, nevertheless it wasn’t too stunning to see them win 98 video games in 2014. There was one thing there.

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Then they acquired steamrolled by the Royals within the ALDS. On the opposite aspect was a novel tackle mediocrity.

Trout was nonetheless a titan from 2015 to 2019. These years stay the 5 greatest preseason participant projections ever spit out by Steamer. He backed it up on the sphere, too, setting a brand new normal for greatness in an more and more measured recreation.

However the Angels’ roster shifted round him in questionable methods. Acquainted veterans aged out and gave method to lesser fashions of the identical ilk. Prospects had been rushed by the system to fill within the gaps. These rosters weren’t fairly dangerous on paper — the Angels had been tenth by Steamer’s preseason projections over this era — however they lacked a coordinating logic, an esprit de corps. You couldn’t rely them out; you wouldn’t dare rely them in. Because it occurs, no crew underperformed their projections extra over these 5 seasons. They aimed low and missed.

Nonetheless, there was momentum into the 2020s, even when it is perhaps described as “hurtling violently.” Trout remained superlative, Shohei Ohtani wished to play with him, and Anthony Rendon initially appeared resistant to the ills of Anaheim. Doubt was excessive, however the crew’s relevance was simple. So, as soon as once more, they hustled their prospects to the majors and returned to the junk drawer of free company, fielding more and more weird lineups for unbelievable sums of money.

You already comprehend it didn’t work. Ohtani was sensational, however Rendon’s deal turned an albatross. Trout struggled to remain on the sphere, with the flashes of greatness immediately fewer and farther between. The remainder of the roster? It was the identical because it ever was.

Angels within the OAAtfield

That brings us to as we speak. Ohtani is gone. Rendon is gone (although his ghost simply signed an extension). Trout is now not the perfect participant in baseball — he’s not even the perfect participant on his crew:

Angels 2026 Projections (Min. 1 WAR)

Supply: FanGraphs Depth Charts

That distinction belongs to Zach Neto. He simply turned 25 and is coming off back-to-back 3-plus WAR seasons. His fast competence is so uncommon in Anaheim that followers are already questioning when he’ll depart. He lead all shortstops in ISO final yr and was an incredible baserunner in addition, making him a priceless power-speed choice at a premium place, even when a poor method limits his ceiling.

Additional limiting his ceiling is his protection: Neto completed 2025 among the many backside 5 shortstops by OAA, and it’s unlikely he’ll discover the required instruction to enhance; final yr, the Angels posted -54 OAA, the worst season ever recorded. Main the downward spiral was Yoán Moncada, who posted -13 OAA at third base, tying him for the second-worst fielder in baseball (he performed simply 76 recreation within the discipline). Moncada and Neto will once more crew up for the leakiest left aspect in baseball in 2026.

The outfield is not any higher defensively. Sure, a reliable tip of the cap is owed to Jo Adell for figuring it out on the plate final yr. He swung tremendously exhausting and made nice contact, even when his method turned a close to 40-homer season right into a mere 112 wRC+. It’s a win, if a regrettably small one. However it was made even smaller when Adell discovered himself because the crew’s common heart fielder. It didn’t go effectively, and he posted -12 OAA because the worst outfielder within the majors. He’s prone to be on the market once more in 2026, until the crew is critical about letting Trout roam.

This dynamic exists throughout the Angels’ depth chart: batters who strike out an excessive amount of, stroll too little, and aren’t notably outfitted for his or her place, whether or not that be Jorge Soler or Josh Lowe or Logan O’Hoppe. The one occasion the place that doesn’t look like the case is with Nolan Schanuel at first base — the one place the place such brazenness is perhaps justified.

None of that is excellent news for the Angels’ pitchers, who occur to be the relative energy of this roster. The standing of the infield is of explicit concern for José Soriano, who led the majors with a 65% groundball price final yr. Soriano throws a visually spectacular 98-mph sinker, a tough splitter, and a giant ol’ curve. He provides up a lot of exhausting contact and walks, however all these grounders (after they’re caught) make him typically resistant to implosions. Soriano is the org’s most promising pitcher since Garrett Richards in 2014.

I don’t know if I’d name Yusei Kikuchi “promising” at almost 35 years previous, however he was strong once more final yr, even when he didn’t fairly dwell as much as his 2024 efficiency. (It’s attainable he’ll be even higher in 2026 with working air-con within the clubhouse.) I’m, nonetheless, keen to increase the “promising” label to Grayson Rodriguez, whose acquisition would possibly characterize the perfect course of transfer the Angels have made lately. I might even see myself getting enthusiastic about Reid Detmers and Alek Manoah, and probably even Tyler Bremner (the latter two just lately sat down with our David Laurila, conversations you may learn right here and right here). Heck, I don’t even hate the premise of their old-is-new bullpen. It’s not outrageous to suppose this workers might end outdoors the underside 10.

That’s all to say, the Angels nonetheless have just a few strong gamers who could be related to extra aggressive organizations. They’re nowhere near competition on paper, and I anticipate they’ll once more be value lower than the sum of their elements. However this doesn’t really feel like true emptiness. This feels just like the Angels.

Mike Trout, Fin.

Trout as of late kinda feels just like the Angels, too.

Expectations for Trout have adjusted down over the previous few years as accidents have stored him off the sphere. We’ve seen him forfeit his standing as the perfect ever, then the perfect in baseball, and now the perfect on his crew. What’s exceptional about this second, nonetheless, is that for the primary time in his profession, Trout’s not even anticipated to be all that good. He had a high 50 projection as just lately as final yr. This yr? Our Depth Charts projections contemplate him the equal of Chase Meidroth. In case you’re questioning why the Angels of the late 2010s felt extra, let’s say, believable than the Angels of as we speak, the reply, fairly frankly, is Trout.

That mentioned, we’re removed from the tip of Trout’s days as a giant league-caliber participant. His 120 wRC+ in 2025 was a profession low, nevertheless it was nonetheless sufficient to make him one of many 100 greatest hitters within the league. In case you’re feeling down about Trout, simply know that it’s nonetheless the identical swing you’ve seen burry your crew a dozen occasions:

His contact high quality was super final yr, inserting him the highest 10 by xwOBAcon. He hit the ball exhausting, and he lead the league in candy spot price. The plot beneath exhibits that he had a flawless launch angle distribution, making almost all of his contact aggressive ultimately:

Screenshot 2026 03 04 at 8.01.24 PM

The plot additionally exhibits he didn’t cowl pitches… I wish to say “like he used to,” however we don’t actually know; the info is just too new. What we will say is Trout ran one of many lowest squared-up charges in baseball in 2025. We are able to additionally say he swung exhausting and deep within the zone, and infrequently got here up empty. His strikeout price ballooned to 32%, although it was nearer to 40% for a lot of the second half. Regardless of the standard of contact, Trout posted -20 runs on pitches within the “coronary heart” area of the plate, whiffing his method to a bottom-15 mark (and a 40 run distinction from a decade in the past). Pitchers attacked him down the center, and he proved incapable of punishing them.

Nonetheless, on pitches that weren’t down the center, Trout was probably the greatest. His elite choosiness returned in 2025, and his stroll price was the best it’s been since 2019. I don’t hate this pick-n-power method going ahead, particularly for somebody on the elite finish of the talent set. It’s straightforward to see him serving out the remaining 5 seasons on his contract as an excellent and even nice DH, persevering with to compile achievements as the perfect of a era.

However that doesn’t appear to be sufficient for Trout. He needs to play heart discipline once more, after transferring to DH for his well being. He needs to run quick once more, after dropping a piece off his dash pace in 2026. He believes on this roster. He needs to win. Is that this eyewash, from a notoriously diplomatic veteran? Denial, from a former star refusing to just accept his age? Or reliable purpose setting, from an all-time tinkerer?

I’m unsure that it issues. The Angels have been specific of their apathy in direction of the current, and it’s not clear how they plan so as to add one other 10-15 wins both now or sooner or later to make this roster aggressive. They’re merely, maybe deliberately, a stage for Mike Trout. An encore, or a fadeout — it’s right here .

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