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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 3/13/26

March 14, 2026
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Reading Time: 17 mins read
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12:01

Eric A Longenhagen: Good morning from Tempe the place the temps are beginning to crank to twenty+ levels above what’s typical for March. I’m positive it’s advantageous, my dad says that is simply cyclical.

12:01

DR: Are the Yankees doing one thing particularly dangerous with their excessive greenback worldwide expertise?  I do know the fail charge is fairly excessive when contemplating a 14-17 yr previous inhabitants. However it appears (maybe as a result of NYY prospects get extra publicity typically) that they’ve had considerably worse outcomes amongst their excessive greenback guys.

12:03

Eric A Longenhagen: Agreeing to offers earlier and earlier opens you as much as extra danger of failure. It’s already a unstable market as a result of youth of the gamers on signing day, the error bar is larger once you’re reaching verbal agreements with 12- and 13-year-olds, to say nothing of the ethics of it.

12:03

Seth: When you’re Steve Cohen, do you have to leverage your immense wealth to search out benefits past the sector, like constructing {an electrical} substation close to Dodger Stadium?

12:06

Eric A Longenhagen: Have a strong scouting employees whilst groups just like the Cubs and Braves hemorrhage scouts. Begin cultivating and/or understanding expertise in locations which are both largely unscouted (like Africa) or locations with a finite quantity of area, like Asia. Clearly, the Dodgers have already manufactured a income and expertise stream from Asia and have a head begin in Africa. Higher get going.

12:06

DR: Does Vance “Spring Coaching Babe Ruth” Honeycutt’s absurd ST output allay any fears that got here up throughout his dangerous 2025?  I do know Aberdeen is a horrible place to hit, however he was dangerous all over the place. I don’t suppose anybody who noticed him in Aberdeen would’ve predicted this many HRs in 2026 as a complete, not to mention ST

12:07

Eric A Longenhagen: He struck out SO MUCH final yr, you’ve gotta let it air out over a bigger pattern and see what occurs.

12:07

Will: Have you ever discovered something eye opening out of your How’s my Driving?

12:07

Eric A Longenhagen: Do a greater job figuring out guys with 70-grade command or breaking pitches.

12:07

Sidd Finch: Are there any highschool juniors you’re significantly enthusiastic about for the 2027 draft?

12:07

Eric A Longenhagen: Carter Hadnot

12:07

Baseball learner: Sounds just like the Yankees system is gentle on objective? Just like the technique is “commerce the blokes who in all probability received’t make it slash those we don’t want for large league gamers we’d want now”? Do you suppose you that they’re working out of what to deal for on

12:09

Eric A Longenhagen: I believe there may be an elevated sense of urgency for Cashman to maintain his job, and in addition some “we don’t actually suppose this man goes to hit, let’s commerce him whereas he has worth” to it.

12:09

Kelly Clarkson: Any popup prospects piqued your curiosity this spring?

12:10

Eric A Longenhagen: Rockies A-ball children not named Ethan Holliday appeared good this week.

12:10

Eric A Longenhagen: Brito, Arguelles, Andujar

12:10

Erick: if the A’s are frisky, what do you see because the ETA for de vries?

12:10

Eric A Longenhagen: Could possibly be this yr if he retains wanting like this

12:10

Spring Breakout Video games: What gamers are on the prime of your watch record?

12:11

Eric A Longenhagen: Anybody who was a Decide to Click on

12:11

Dylan: Has your view on any prospects been considerably modified by spring coaching? Do you’re taking spring coaching in any respect significantly when taking a look at these guys?

12:12

Eric A Longenhagen: Not from a field rating efficiency standpoint. Bodily development throughout the offseason, added velo, new pitches… that stuff I care about.

12:12

szakyl: What’s an affordable expectation for DeLauter’s common PA per season?

12:12

Eric A Longenhagen: 450

12:12

Dorian Soto: When do you get eyes on him?

12:13

Eric A Longenhagen: I’m going to Pennsylvania April 2-10 after which Ft Myers April 10-??, I have to get my fingers on Prolonged ST schedules for Florida.

12:13

Erick: I do know he’s a graduated prospect, however will warren’s stuff+ seems to be up considerably this spring. is that this a blip or has he made optimistic adjustments?

12:15

Eric A Longenhagen: I believe he appears to be like nice however you’re speaking to the man who has traditionally been excessive on Warren.

12:15

ZH: Why is MVP Baseball 2005 nonetheless the best recreation ever made?

12:15

Eric A Longenhagen: I imply, Breath of the Wild is fairly rad.

12:16

doughboy: after the smoke has cleared after the 2025 season, how will we make sense of Jackson Jobe‘s FV? His stuff+ on all pitches had been league common to plus; however he wasn’t lacking as many bats as you’d hope. There was some speak about his restricted arm extension and fastball being too true. What do you anticipate from him in 2027?

12:16

Eric A Longenhagen: I suppose we’ll see, however I believe all of the tinkering that was happening over the last couple of years was perhaps an indication the Tigers didn’t suppose issues would work as constituted.

12:17

Oaktown Blues: If a prospect who beforehand was within the DSL will get some Spring Coaching ABs in AZ, is {that a} good indicator that the crew plans to deliver them stateside to begin the yr?

12:17

Eric A Longenhagen: If a man is up right here he’s virtually actually going to stay up right here.

12:17

Eric A Longenhagen: Rayner Arias is the one one I can recall who went again for a bit.

12:18

Kate: Did one thing change with Tornes’ profile that moved him from a forty five+ to a straight 45?  Or was this simply sort of re-calibrating learn how to worth these sorts of far off guys with a number of inquiries to reply?

12:18

Eric A Longenhagen: 71% contact charge within the DSL is a bit bit scary, doubtless nook man. Nonetheless appears to be like like a primary spherical HS bat however in all probability extra towards the again half than inside the highest 10, which is extra what a forty five+ is.

12:20

Kate: Is there something we will search for in smaller guys with meh pop popping out of the draft to guess at who will truly develop significant impression?  Desirous about a man like McGonigle.  I are likely to miss on this profile of smaller, good hit software guys who find yourself creating pop nobody noticed coming.  Like taking a look at a man like Gavin Kilen and questioning if one thing like that could be in there?

12:20

Eric A Longenhagen: Hip/hand separation, perhaps an uptick in measured bat velocity if we have now entry to the novice quantity from showcase/school event stuff.

12:21

Wooden: Do you will have any up to date notes on two Nats prospects Luke Dickerson and Marconi German?

12:22

Eric A Longenhagen: Nats are on deck for mid-April replace, I’ll see three of their associates in PA and perhaps their Prolonged group if Miami brings sufficient arms up from the D.R. for me to drive throughout the state for a couple of days.

12:22

Eric A Longenhagen: So for now I’m advantageous sticking to what I wrote final record cycle.

12:24

Erick: BG mentioned this in his chat, so determine i’ll get your view on it too: Painter’s fastball form seems to not have returned but even after phillies mentioned he spent the offseason working to get again to his pre-injury arm slot. When you knew – with certainty – that painter’s pre damage fastball form and velo will not be returning would he nonetheless be 55? a 50?

12:24

Eric A Longenhagen: Form AND velo? 50

12:25

Baseball learner: Odds Lagrange is the Yankees setup man come September?

12:27

Eric A Longenhagen: That’s a bit too particular. Odds he’s a significant a part of their bullpen? 25%? He’s a postseason 40-man add so if he’s one in every of their greatest 12 arms finish of yr he must be up (except they’re not contending)

12:27

Oaktown Blues: I believe I keep in mind you saying a bit again that the A’s prospect record was ticketed for late Spring, after you bought appears to be like at among the guys – is that also on course?

12:28

Eric A Longenhagen: Yep, they’ve been my focus this week. Astros publish subsequent, I do know Meg and gonna be swamped with modifying preseason content material and record publication will take a again seat whereas that stuff rolls out however I’m formally engaged on A’s, Cubs, Rockies (BG and I each), SFG (ditto).

12:28

Bernie: Eric!  I’m in a deep dynasty league and your work has at all times been extremely useful — thanks!  Are there any current draft picks/IFAs attracting buzz on the backfields past the marquee guys (in my draft, prime 2 rounds of MLB draft and prime 10ish DSL guys already gone)?

12:30

Eric A Longenhagen: Nicely the Rangers two-way child from Korea pitches and leads off immediately so perhaps we’ll get some dope there. We’ve solely had two or three days of minor league video games up to now…

12:30

Kate: What do you make of the brand new Zac Veen?

12:30

Eric A Longenhagen: Don’t suppose it made a distinction in how rapidly his fingers get going.

12:32

Surplus Valuez = Stolen Wages: Does Vahn Lackey find yourself a primary rounder?

12:32

Eric A Longenhagen: Severe query, as a result of I’m curious: Are you Allan Eric Carlson?

12:32

Eric A Longenhagen: (and sure, I really like Lackey and suppose he goes inside the highest 10)

12:33

Eric A Longenhagen: As a result of your IP tackle positive places it in play, can be a blast from the Crashburn Alley previous so that you can be in right here.

12:34

ZH: Random 40+ or under hitter or pitcher that makes the leap to a 55 by finish of the season? Is usually a Decide to Click on however the ones you simply have probably the most intestine really feel for.

12:36

Eric A Longenhagen: Yairo Padilla. Bodily, switch-hitting MIF? Signal me up.

12:36

War2D2: Eriiiiic! Simply my weekly nag asking when the Cubs record can be launched. Can we count on any pop-up expertise that was off the radar final time via? Thanks!

12:37

Eric A Longenhagen: They’ll in all probability transfer up the queue right here as a result of I’ve been advised they’re not taking part in any Prolonged Spring video games. Gotta get in what I can throughout minor lg ST.

12:37

jk: Who’re your favourite 2026 impression pitching prospects who haven’t debuted but?

12:39

Eric A Longenhagen: I’ll say Gage Leap, suppose the A’s are motivated to maneuver their pitching rapidly.

12:40

Rickey: what do you see holding Luis Morales again (past the ballpark). Appeared to have loads of stuff arising, and did advantageous as soon as within the majors final yr. Many appear down on his probabilities of being a No 3-4, however what do you see as the restrictions on him?

12:40

Eric A Longenhagen: I actually like him, he’s crude however I purchase that the stuff and athleticism will permit him to flourish over time. Simply not probably the most polished/poised man but.

12:41

Oaktown Blues: I do know that with a purpose to succeed with a <70% contact charge, you must hit the ball actually exhausting. This Spring, Henry Bolte has a median EV of 96.5 and a 59% exhausting hit charge. Is that sufficient oomph to make up for his 68% contact charge?

12:42

Eric A Longenhagen: I’ve seen video games and he’s appeared fairly good, is he on time sufficient to raise the ball a bit extra? -1 diploma avg launch final yr…

12:42

Crabcakes: Did 2025 change your opinion on Nate George in any respect?  I believe you had been skeptical of his skill to hit, after which he hit one thing like .330 throughout a pair ranges final yr.  Did he fulfill your considerations, or is gonna get uncovered in opposition to higher pitching?

12:43

Eric A Longenhagen: I’m comfy taking the beneath in comparison with what Chat appears to suppose. Excessive oppo spray, I fear how he’ll deal with precise MLB high quality fastballs.

12:43

Eric A Longenhagen: Toolsy child, although. Simply copying and pasting my Aidan Smith takes from final offseason.

12:43

War2D2: I’m going to be in Scottsdale for my yearly journey to spring coaching subsequent week. I’m going a pair weeks later than I normally do due to household commitments. Was actually excited to see that as an alternative of the 80° climate I’m used to it’ll be 110°. Yessir, reeeeaaaally excited.

12:44

Eric A Longenhagen: Our common temps are 80 this time of the yr, actually a terrifying signal of issues to come back. MLB ought to begin making ready to battle with golf programs for water right here.

12:44

Sandwich: Which orgs do you suppose do the most effective job of spreading out their danger within the IFA market whereas nonetheless discovering upside?

12:44

Eric A Longenhagen: Milwaukee

12:46

Buff: A lot of buzz about Roldy Brito. Have you ever seen or heard something about him that will transfer him up on the Board?

12:47

Eric A Longenhagen: He’s on our prime 100. Skillful child, like him in CF and at 2B, grinds out powerful at-bats. Beeg thinks he has a Zobrist really feel to him, I dig that.

12:49

Opifijikl: You talked about final yr that you simply thought the Purple Sox had been telling their guys to swing much less, or that they’d premeditated swings and misses. I imagine a Laurila interview w/BOS participant growth refuted that. The info appeared to match what you had been saying although, so do you will have any guesses about what’s taking place there?

12:49

Eric A Longenhagen: I believe it’s completely true for Anthony and Campbell

12:50

Steve O: Why’s Franklin Arias rated so extremely? He doesn’t appear like he’ll hit a lot and he doesn’t stroll. It’s exhausting for me to cause that he’s the 14th greatest prospect when he doesn’t hit and he’s not quick. I’d suppose if any crew rated him that extremely the Purple Sox ought to’ve commerce him yesterday.

12:50

Eric A Longenhagen: Plus shortstop defender with plus (perhaps higher) bat to ball talent.

12:50

Tony Graffinino: Favourite persona or funniest prospect you will have scouted extensively?

12:52

Eric A Longenhagen: Jake Burger. Hilarious man. Lawrence Butler additionally looks as if a blast. I additionally discover the uncontainable features of Abner Uribe’s on-field antics to be humorous however he’s not *attempting* to be humorous.

12:53

Matt: Is Misiorowski the dream for Carlos Lagrange? Lagrange appears to be in a really related place now to the place Miz was two years in the past. Looks as if you’re already marginally extra bullish about his skill to begin than you had been a month in the past?

12:55

Eric A Longenhagen: Deliveries and fastball angles are completely totally different so I’d say they aren’t nice comps past the velo. Lagrange’s changeup appears to be like prefer it’s going to get to a greater place than Miz.

12:55

Eric A Longenhagen: Would agree that Lagrange’s mechanical consistency is best (or not less than my evaluation of it’s certainly extra bullish)

12:56

flightsongs: Which prospect identify have you ever chosen to have rattling round in your mind as like a fork in a rubbish disposal as you sooner or later shuffle off this mortal coil? Mine’s “Ibandel Isabel“.

12:58

Eric A Longenhagen: Franklin De La Paz

12:59

Eric A Longenhagen: Ibandel Isabel has a musicality to it that completely precipitated it to pop into my mind at random, too. It’s actually superb you’re on the identical wavelength.

12:59

Eric A Longenhagen: And in my head I’m saying the “b” kinda like a “v”

1:00

Surplus Valuez = Stolen Wages: Given all of the Epstein stuff, the dwell streamed holocaust of Palestinian kids, the state of youth right here happening 3-4 generations…apart from being previous and more and more senile within the suburbs, what makes it potential for sports activities customers to disregard the economics anymore? IFA bonuses, draft bonuses, caps on each, wage caps/“luxurious tax”, choices, later debuts, service manipulation normalized, and so on and so on

1:03

Eric A Longenhagen: ^Because of this I used to be questioning in case you’re AEC as a result of regardless that your worldviews don’t appear to align you do put up a ton of stuff like this in chat. Like quite a bit. It’s an excellent query, although. I believe a number of us are made numb by how pleasurably distracting our leisure choices are, and it’s powerful to mobilize your self (not to mention sufficient folks that will truly facilitate change) after we’re sitting round watching sports activities, or marvel motion pictures, or actuality TV or no matter it’s. I’m as responsible as anybody.

1:03

Eric A Longenhagen: Yay!

1:04

Eric A Longenhagen: Couple extra, then I’ve gotta deal with some automobile stuff (lock housing busted on the GTI) earlier than I’m going to the sector

1:04

Genghis Khan II: I simply can’t get down with the Dax Kilby hype given the SSS. He could be A-Rod, however 18 video games with a .431 BABIP in A ball? 18 video games! This appears to be like and smells like stereotypical Yankees prospect hype.

1:04

Eric A Longenhagen: I agree let’s not go loopy placing a 70 on his hit software or something for the explanations you mentioned, however I had that man stuffed pre-draft and thought he appeared fairly good taking part in SS in professional ball. That’s what moved the needle for me was the protection.

1:05

Jace, The Thoughts Sculptor: Have you ever ever executed a “how’s my driving” in your projected pitcher roles?

1:05

Eric A Longenhagen: No, I’d love to try this and analyze everybody’s efficiency on the crew lists as an alternative of simply the 100s

1:05

Crabcakes: I’ve a frequent debate with my SO about professional athletes and psychological well being.  I say guys who battle beneath stress get weeded out lengthy earlier than they make the very best stage as a result of there’s at all times stress in sports activities.  My SO factors out that we recurrently see guys seem to choke.  Add some perspective for us please, do you see prospects both fail to advance or advance regardless of struggles with the stress to carry out?

1:09

Eric A Longenhagen: I believe it relies on the individual. I agree that there’s at all times a component of stress and among the very fragile of us get weeded out at a sure stage. However I additionally suppose notion impacts how anybody handles a given second. Like if in case you have worry of flying, it’s arguably irrational based mostly on the precise charge of lethal crashes in comparison with driving, however a lot of folks nonetheless worry it and I’m not skeptical that they worry it regardless of its irrationality. I believe that may apply to sports activities.

1:09

Eric A Longenhagen: Like Jorge Lopez, I fear about that man. He made it right here however nonetheless appears to soften.

1:10

Eric A Longenhagen: Okay buddies, time for me to go. Nice chat this week, let’s have one other subsequent Friday!

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