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The stop-start nature of the Mets’ season continued with a 7-2 loss to the Diamondbacks on Wednesday afternoon at Citi Discipline.
The loss snapped a four-game profitable streak for the Amazin’s, however that stretch got here on the heels of a 1-4 schneid.
The Mets will hope to get proper again on the rails with a win Thursday, and the oddsmakers like their possibilities of doing simply that.
The Mets are a -162 favourite to take the rubber match at Citi Discipline, and the Over/Below is sitting at 7.
Mets vs. Diamondbacks odds, prediction
The low complete paints this as a pitchers’ duel, however there are some indicators that push again in opposition to that projection.
Whereas Nolan McLean has largely impressed in his first two outings this season, he hasn’t been capable of pitch deep into both of his assignments.
The 24-year-old went 5 innings in his 2026 debut in opposition to the Pirates, after which went one out additional in his second outing.
McLean was nonetheless efficient, posting a 2.61 ERA and placing out 12 throughout these two begins, however he’s not been terribly environment friendly, and the Mets will definitely err on the aspect of warning with their promising hurler’s workload.
The Diamondbacks will counter McLean with veteran Eduardo Rodriguez.
The southpaw is off and operating in 2026 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in two begins, however the pattern measurement we’ve for the 33-year-old tells us to count on a dip in kind.
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At this level in his profession, Rodriguez pitches to induce weak contact, however his lack of ability to get swings and misses means his margin for error is kind of skinny.
We noticed that final season when Rodriguez pitched to a 5.01 ERA and allowed a .353 wOBA, which was one of many worst marks amongst certified pitchers.
Neither of those lineups is placing concern into anybody but this season — particularly with Juan Soto on the sidelines for the Mets — however the low Over/Below is giving an excessive amount of respect to the beginning pitchers.
The Play: Over 7 (-115, FanDuel)
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Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, however a long-profiting sports activities bettor with 10 years of expertise within the playing business. He loves utilizing sport principle to assist punters win bracket swimming pools, discover lengthy photographs, and discover ways to beat the market in mainstream and area of interest sports activities.
