When you thought NBA enlargement had turn out to be a unending rumor cycle, the most recent reporting suggests the league might lastly be prepared to maneuver ahead.
In accordance with ESPN’s Shams Charania, the Nationwide Basketball Affiliation Board of Governors will vote later this month to start exploring enlargement to Seattle and Las Vegas, with the league focusing on the 2028–29 season for 2 new franchises.
The value tag alone nearly appears like satire. Business projections place potential enlargement bids someplace within the $7 to $10 billion vary per crew. The house owners could also be thrilled about that windfall, however it additionally means the ripple results for groups throughout the league will probably be very actual as soon as the league reaches 32 groups.
For the Celtics, the problem will probably be ensuring these ripples don’t rock the roster too laborious.
Enlargement drafts drive groups to show gamers they’d reasonably hold, and Boston occurs to be constructed across the actual kind of depth that enlargement drafts are inclined to punish. To observe up on my piece earlier this yr about who the Celtics may shield, it’s price revisiting the dialog now that the enlargement timeline is lastly coming into focus.
The most recent enlargement replace from Shams
The report from Shams provides just a few significant particulars about how the enlargement course of would unfold.
First, the upcoming vote would permit the league to start exploring buy processes for groups in Seattle and Las Vegas. If these processes produce bids that attain the league’s desired valuation vary, a ultimate vote later within the yr may formally approve enlargement to 32 groups. Each votes require approval from 23 of the league’s 30 governors.
Second, the timeline connected to the report additionally clarifies when the league expects these franchises to start play. The 2028–29 season at present sits because the goal.
That locations the enlargement draft in the summertime of 2027, possible between the NBA Finals and the NBA Draft. In league phrases, that’s not far off in any respect. Entrance workplaces across the NBA plan a number of years forward when structuring contracts and constructing rosters. Brad Stevens possible plans many years forward, however not everybody might be Brad Stevens.
If this holds, there could be only one NBA Draft between now and the enlargement draft, which implies the Celtics’ safety checklist will largely revolve across the roster they have already got, plus whoever Brad Stevens selects within the 2026 draft.
All that’s to say, the Celtics could have greater than eight gamers they would like to not pass over within the open. That’s the squeeze enlargement creates for good groups: not “who will we hold?” however “who’re we okay dropping?”
What the Celtics’ enlargement choices may appear to be
The foundations for the enlargement draft are easy sufficient. Every crew will get to guard eight gamers. Everybody else turns into eligible for choice by the enlargement crew (or groups on this case). Seattle and Las Vegas can take one participant from every franchise, however as soon as somebody is taken from a franchise, that crew is off the board and might’t be taken from once more.
Sounds manageable, proper?
However a fast scan of Celtics fan guesses already exhibits the stress. If you wish to perceive why enlargement may get uncomfortable for Boston, have a look at the place the manufacturing has come from during the last ten video games after which attempt speaking your self into defending solely eight gamers.
Brad Stevens has quietly constructed a roster the place the eighth-best participant may nonetheless be somebody one other crew would gladly take an opportunity on. Which implies the laborious half isn’t naming the protected eight, however deciding which good participant Boston has to show.
For the Celtics, the no-brainers to guard are:
Tatum and Brown outline the franchise timeline. White remains to be probably the most precious connectors within the league, the form of participant each critical crew wants and nearly no crew needs to offer away. Pritchard belongs right here too, each due to his manufacturing and since smaller contracts connected to actual rotation gamers turn out to be much more precious in roster-building conditions like this. Boston will not be exposing him if he’s nonetheless a part of the image when enlargement arrives.
Barring surprising developments (and people occur lots within the NBA), these 4 gamers will get safety spots. Which means Boston will probably be midway by means of its protected checklist earlier than the troublesome choices even start.
Sam Hauser is the place the dialog begins to turn out to be a dialog.
If I had to decide on as we speak, I’d lean towards defending him. Capturing this clear, at his dimension, in a job he already is aware of find out how to play subsequent to stars, is helpful on any contender. However I additionally perceive the opposite facet of that coin. By the point an enlargement draft arrives, Hauser will probably be older, costlier, and nearer to a completed product than a few of Boston’s youthful choices. That doesn’t make him expendable, it simply means the argument is not automated.
Then there may be Neemias Queta. Useful middle depth can’t be underestimated within the fashionable NBA, and groups don’t casually throw away dimension in the event that they imagine it might maintain up in actual minutes. If Boston nonetheless views Queta as a dependable rotation large in 2027 (like they do in 2026), he has a legit case for one of many ultimate safety spots.
And you then get to the trio that makes this complete train fascinating and just a little nauseating: Hugo Gonzalez, Baylor Scheierman, and Jordan Walsh. If the six above are in, you may solely shield two from this group.
These three are precisely the sorts of gamers enlargement groups have a tendency to speak themselves into. Younger. Comparatively low-cost. Not totally shaped but. Simple to think about in a much bigger position.
Scheierman will be the best of the three to image serving to one other crew rapidly as a result of he already appears like an precise NBA participant. Gonzalez brings the form of bodily upside groups chase, whereas Walsh is the basic “if the shot comes round, there’s one thing right here” wager. You may make a case for any of them, and you too can make the case that Boston would hate to spend years creating a kind of gamers solely to lose him proper earlier than the payoff.
That’s the reason the eighth spot issues a lot greater than the primary 4. The Celtics are deciding which developmental wager they belief probably the most.
Veteran back-end items equivalent to Nikola Vučević should not more likely to be on the coronary heart of the enlargement dilemma.
The remainder of the roster largely falls into the class of gamers who would wish to drive their manner into the long-term image earlier than enlargement turns into an actual concern. Massive males like Luka Garza and Amari Williams nonetheless have improvement forward of them. Wings equivalent to Ron Harper Jr. and rookie guard John Tonje would wish to carve out constant roles to enter the safety dialog.
Newer additions like not too long ago transformed Max Shulga and depth choices equivalent to Charles Bassey fall into the same class. If any of them make a leap over the subsequent two seasons, the maths will get more durable. But when they continue to be deep bench items or early-stage initiatives, they possible sit exterior the protected eight.
Enlargement will take a look at what Boston has constructed
Enlargement will probably be good for the league. And truthfully, it will likely be enjoyable to observe an actual piece of NBA historical past take form in actual time, and hopefully goes higher than the final time the NBA expanded once they welcomed the Charlotte Bobcats in 2004. It’s by no means an excellent signal when an enlargement crew rebrands again to an previous crew title earlier than you’ve expanded once more.
For now, Celtics followers can hold the dialog gentle. What’s going to the Las Vegas crew title be? Do the SuperSonics get to say Kevin Durant as a part of their historical past? Which Western Convention crew will get shoved East and instantly begins annoying everybody?
Boston’s more durable questions can wait just a little longer.
But when enlargement goes to punish groups for being too deep, too effectively run, and too filled with fascinating younger gamers, I’d reasonably be the Celtics than anybody else.
