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'There may very well be a large drop-off' – Jay Vine warns of dramatically narrowing pathways to professionalism for Australian and New Zealanders

January 10, 2026
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Few Australian racers have been as profitable prior to now 5 years as newly topped Nationwide Time Trial Champion Jay Vine – and that is regardless of some huge setbacks alongside the way in which. What’s extra, arguably even fewer have had such an unorthodox pathway into the very best ranges of the game as Vine did.

The story of Vine turning professional at Alpecin in 2021 as a reward for standout success on the Zwift Academy e-racing, fairly than on actual roads, has been recounted many occasions now.

Nevertheless, as Vine advised Cyclingnews this December earlier than heading to Australia for the Nationals and a crack at a second title within the Tour Down Underneath, in relation to different professionals from his homeland now attempting to make it in Europe by rather more standard profession pathways, the UAE Crew Emirates-XRG rider is more and more pessimistic about their prospects.


Chances are you’ll like

What Vine believes to be a below-par racing scene in Australia, rising prices throughout the board, and on high of that, the growing focus by skilled groups on discovering younger expertise all mix to imply the window of alternatives are shrinking quick for his compatriots, Vine says. And that goes for each males’s and girls’s biking.

In reality, Vine even goes as far as to say that the present prospects within the girls’s facet of the game are akin to the powerful battle that Australian and NZ males confronted over thirty years in the past to show professional and succeed – an period when the variety of male professionals from these nations within the European peloton may very well be virtually counted on the fingers of 1 hand.

However throughout the board, in any case, Vine’s description of the challenges for younger Australian and NZ newbie racers trying to progress additional up the ranks as “cost-prohibitive” is hardly encouraging.

What’s extra, that financial problem, as Vine sees it, is barely one of many main obstacles in comparison with some years in the past. In an period when riders like teammate Tadej Pogačar are successful the Tour de France aged 21, or Juan Ayuso (Lidl-Trek) makes it onto the rostrum of the Vuelta a España aged 20, the development of looking for ever-younger racers appears unstoppable. That development just isn’t benefiting Australian biking in any respect, he says.

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“For the present technology [of Australian racers], for certain it is tougher as a result of you have to be in Europe doing races at 15, and , you are still at college, all that form of stuff,” Vine advised Cyclingnews final month.

“I hadn’t even ridden a motorbike at 15, however [nowadays] you have gotta be uncovered to racing at 15.

As for the rising prices, “Again then, additionally, you used to have the ability to simply choose up a motorbike that was, , 1500 bucks, trip, and get a great end result. Now it is – you have gotta have a bunch of apparatus. Bikes are increasingly costly, and that is additionally the case with flights, lodging, and all that form of stuff.


Chances are you’ll like

“I feel it is very cost-prohibitive to attempt to get into the game,” notably, he added, when in a far-flung nation.

Neither is it solely in relation to people, Vine says. He believes native groups, too, are probably discovering it tougher and tougher financially to get off the bottom.

“I imply, beginning your individual workforce, like – who did it? Drapac, a Professional Continental workforce” [An Australian squad finally merged with EF in 2016, while it continued as a development team for some years after – Ed.] “or what was the opposite one, Black Spoke in New Zealand? [which ran from 2021-2024-Ed].

“It is simply so cost-prohibitive. It is good, nevertheless it’s so costly to run on this European sport. So I do not suppose that’d be sensible.”

“You might want to be in Europe to do it. I’ve tried to help a few girls to return over to Europe in some Continental groups, however you have to be in Europe, and you have to be in Europe early.”

He’s equally gloomy, if no more, in regards to the prospects for ladies’s racers, regardless that budgets have been on the rise lately, and that’s throughout the board.

“I feel girls’s biking might be the place males’s biking was within the 90s. And to attempt to get a 21-year-old from Australia right into a Continental workforce or a ProConti workforce, as I see it’s, like, virtually unimaginable.

“Until you are [up-and-coming British cycling star] Cat Ferguson…or until you have acquired a European connection, it is actually tough. Or [unless] you are extremely gifted and also you simply win every little thing.”

Race motion in Australia (Picture credit score: Getty Photographs)

A deep-rooted drawback?

Nor, Vine believes, is it so simple as attending to Europe and beginning to race, as he can testify himself. To rewind to April 2021, Vine made an instantaneous affect on his professional debut on the Tour of Turkey, ending second on the Elmali summit end. Later that 12 months, he would catch the attention of many biking followers once more at Lagunas de Neila through the Vuelta a Burgos. Put all of it collectively, and it meant that driving quick uphill was by no means the issue for him.

Slightly, again then, as Vine advised Cyclingnews in an interview in 2023, if he had confronted a steep studying curve when he turned professional with Alpecin, his strength-sapping lack of race craft on the time may partly be attributed to apparently persistent deficiencies within the racing scene again house.

“In Australia, in a bunch of say 60 guys max, there’s actually solely 5 guys who’re on the verge of turning professional, they usually can do no matter they need within the bunch, they will go from final wheel to first, no drawback. It’s like placing [Fabian] Cancellara in a junior race, he can do no matter he desires,” he stated in 2023.

“You then come over right here, and you’ve got 70 Cancellaras, so you possibly can’t simply do no matter you need. You’ve set to work the race tactically and use your teammates. Using within the bunch with out utilizing huge quantities of vitality, that’s the largest factor. I knew I had lots to be taught.”

Quick ahead 5 years and Vine has clearly moved on enormously – witness his steadily bettering palmares in specialities as diversified as double success within the Australian Nationwide time trial title after which snapping up 4 mountain phases of the Vuelta a España – and counting.

However to evaluate from Vine’s phrases, the decrease degree of racing in comparison with Europe stays endemic to the Australian peloton. On high of that, there’s been a drop-off in curiosity in Australia, he says, in organising racing as properly, which you can argue makes a vicious circle much more of a closed one, too.

“It is getting tougher and tougher for golf equipment to placed on races, particularly when there’s not that groundswell of riders eager to do it,” Vine says.

“So after I was racing amateurs in my native membership” – within the latter a part of the final decade – “there was a core group of 5 to 10 guys. However that A-grade form of half of it moved into Masters and acquired older, and households and all that form of stuff, after which half of them racked it, after which that subsequent wave of biking riders are nonetheless 12 to fifteen, in order that they have not gotten into that group but.”

“I feel Biking Australia’s attempting to resurrect the help for the under-19s and under-23s. However I imply, we’re signing individuals which might be below 19 now into the WorldTour, so that you form of want to start out after they’re 12. Sadly.”

Moreover, as a professional of over 5 years standing in Europe, he is additionally not overly satisfied of the concept the criteriums raced in Australia – one of the vital resilient sides of the game as they minimise the prices and problem of getting approvals and site visitors administration – can actually contribute overly to a rider’s progress on the opposite facet of the globe. Equally worryingly, he believes is that the variety of races throughout his nation is dropping throughout the board, too.

“Even in my native area, I do know a bunch of state handicaps have form of stopped working as a result of the people who run them have moved on, they usually have not been taken up by different individuals to proceed working them. The crit scene appears to be nonetheless fairly fashionable, however , for somebody eager to go skilled in Europe, crits are virtually nugatory.

“Loads of the racing in Australia is definitely fairly peculiar for European stuff, so it is disappointing. I feel attempting to get to Europe as shortly as doable is one of the simplest ways of doing it.”

On the plus facet, as soon as a rider is established, like Vine, the advantages are something however minor, he says, given the way in which wages have risen significantly over the previous few years, notably within the largest groups.

As he places it, “I would additionally swing it the opposite means in that the reward’s lots higher as properly, proper? I imply, there’s not a lot cash in biking, however the cash in biking has gone up. You realize, there’s a number of stress on younger riders, however we’re additionally being paid professionally now.”

2024 Olympic Games elite women time trial: Grace Brown speeds to gold

2024 Olympic Video games elite girls time trial: Grace Brown speeds to gold (Picture credit score: Getty Photographs)

A large drop-off – and an answer?

Nevertheless, whereas the present panorama in Australia when it comes to professionals racing overseas is flourishing at current, Vine is adamant that the longer term dangers being a really totally different story certainly. The mixture of all of the components he is highlighted would appear to color a really dramatic story within the mid-to-long time period.

“The statistics in all probability do not present it as a result of we have in all probability nonetheless acquired the identical quantity of younger riders getting signed to WorldTour groups as earlier than, and we have got in all probability probably the most ever Australians within the sport presently on the skilled degree,” he says.

“However there may very well be a large drop off when the fellows which might be presently 30 to 35 begin retiring.” – Vine himself is 30 – “I do not suppose there’s gonna be 10 riders that impulsively get signed within the subsequent three or 4 years.”

Nations with newer full-scale street racing success like Australia, which solely actually started to maneuver ahead in that facet of the game within the Eighties with Phil Anderson, are typically extra susceptible to rises and drops in fashionable curiosity.

However there may be moments when the arrival of a serious new star or a win in a serious race just like the Tour de France can create a big uptick in protection and, in the end, encourage younger individuals to start out out within the sport.

Vine agrees this sort of standout success can solely be useful, however he argues that it is a long-term repair for one thing that’s already hitting the purple alert zone in a a lot nearer timeframe. He additionally factors to such applications to deliver on youthful riders already being not less than partly in place.

“I would recommend that is nonetheless like a 15-year answer,” says Vine as, whereas he acknowledged there are programmes in place, he pointed to the advantages of a special period the place there have been European scholarships “the place you have got 6 guys, just like the previous AIS [Australian Institute of Sport] workforce: most of these guys are nonetheless within the skilled peloton.”

On the identical time, he factors out, the strong outcomes for the Olympics in Paris will probably even have created a rise in finances, with the Australian Sports activities Fee allocating $15.86 million Australian to the game physique within the 2025/26 monetary 12 months. As Vine places it, “Authorities funding for Biking Australia may have gone up, after which they will begin throwing that round, hopefully on the street facet of the game and Grace Brown” – the winner of the person time trial in Paris – “did a loopy quantity of stuff along with her gold medal, too.”

“So hopefully we get some funding for either side of the game, women and men, and we’re in a position to put groups in Europe to get them racing and get individuals signed up.”

It might probably’t be overstated that making a definitive answer to all of those woes within the making is by no means simple. But when Vine’s warnings in regards to the long-term predicament Australian biking finds itself in develop into true, then there appears to be like as if there may be valuable little time to lose all the identical.



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