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2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational: Odds, Bets, and Evaluation

March 6, 2025
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The PGA Tour continues its journey round Florida at Bay Hill Golf Membership for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Check out this weekend’s odds, picks, and finest bets.

Betting at Bay Hill

The Favorites

The favourite coming into the Arnold Palmer is defending champion Scottie Sheffler. Scheffler has a formidable observe document at Bay Hill, with victories in 2022 and 2024, and a T-4 end in 2023. You’ll be able to take Sheffler at +300 to win and hold his crown.

A previous winner in 2018, Rory McIlroy boasts a stellar document at Bay Hill, by no means ending outdoors the highest 30 in 10 appearances. His present streak consists of eight consecutive top-20 finishes at this occasion, underscoring his consistency. He enters Arnold Palmer Invitational with odds round +750.

Mcilory and Sheffler are the one two gamers within the discipline this week who’re beneath +1000 odds. In actual fact, no different gamers within the discipline may even be discovered beneath +1500. Xander Schauffele and Ludvig Aberg are the one two gamers you possibly can at present take round these odds. This might go away an enormous gap in Vegas’s pocket if certainly one of these 4 males isn’t hoisting a trophy Sunday night.

Contenders and Longshots

Shane Lowry has been touted all week as somebody who can pull this event off. Windy situations on Thursday and Sunday will make it really feel like a house course for the Irishman. The elite iron recreation in Lowry’s possession might be essential. At +6500, the worth is there for Shane Lowry to place some severe coin within the folks’s pocket.

Russell Henley’s kind can’t be ignored proper now. Within the final 5 occasions, Henley has completed top-10 in 4 of them. His accuracy off the tee and work across the inexperienced may be the distinction on the weekend. +2800 to complete as high American is certainly one thing to concentrate to.

One other participant who’s been heating up is Patrick Cantlay. Cantlay’s completed top-5 twice already this yr with a top-15 end at The Sentry. Cantal can reap the benefits of the powerful situations along with his premier iron play. Having no wins on Tour since 2022 could be a troublesome probability to take him as an outright winner. A top-10 end at +240 is usually a comparatively protected play.

Ugly Odds

It’s very powerful to have a look at the board and discover a lot worth in Xander Shauffele to win the tournaments. Coming back from a two-month damage hiatus, Schauffele’s odds stand at +1800. Whereas he’s a world-class expertise, the shortage of latest aggressive play raises questions on his readiness to contend instantly.

It’s very obscure why Tommy Fleetwood’s is a top-10 favourite this weekend. To his credit score, he has been taking part in effectively ending T5 on the Genesis Invitational. Nevertheless it’s exhausting to see a world the place a participant with zero all-time PGA Tour wins pulls it off at Bay Hill. A top-10 and even top-5 end needs to be what bettors look in direction of.

As this is among the largest non-major tournaments of the yr, we don’t know the way a few of these gamers will deal with the strain. With monsters like Sheffler and McIlroy main the way in which, it’s extraordinarily troublesome to search out who can poke their head by way of. However play it good and a few severe cash may be made.

Primary photograph credit score: © Reinhold Matay-Imagn Pictures

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