How Sinner's Shanghai loss impacts year-end No. 1 battle with Alcaraz

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How Sinner’s Shanghai loss impacts year-end No. 1 battle with Alcaraz

Study state of play following Italian’s third-round loss in Shanghai

October 07, 2025

Jannik Sinner’s hopes of securing ATP Yr-Finish No. 1 offered by PIF honours are dwindling.

Carlos Alcaraz is in full command of his year-end No. 1 battle with the Italian following Sinner’s retirement within the third set of his third-round match on the Rolex Shanghai Masters in opposition to Tallon Griekspoor.

Alcaraz leads Sinner by 2,540 factors within the PIF ATP Dwell Race To Turin, which serves as a barometer for the year-end No. 1 battle. The honour will not be fully out of attain for the Italian, however he’ll have to be near good the remainder of the season to have any likelihood.

Sinner is subsequent scheduled to compete in Vienna earlier than the ultimate ATP Masters 1000 occasion of the season in Paris and the Nitto ATP Finals in Turin. The 24-year-old may earn a most 3,000 factors at these occasions.

Alcaraz is subsequent scheduled to play in Paris and on the Nitto ATP Finals, giving him an opportunity to earn 2,500 factors if he doesn’t settle for a wild card into one other match this season.

Had Sinner efficiently defended the Rolex Shanghai Masters title, he would have pulled to inside 1,590 factors of his rival within the Dwell Race, placing him in place to make a cost for year-end No. 1 on the finish of the season. As a substitute, Sinner must chase titles and hope that Alcaraz suffers early losses on the rest of his schedule.

In accordance with the Infosys ATP Win/Loss Index, Alcaraz owns a 67-7 file this season and Sinner is 43-6. The previous was year-end No. 1 in 2022 and the latter in 2024.

No different participant has an opportunity to earn ATP Yr-Finish No. 1 offered by PIF honours.